Oil Prices: the True Role of Speculation

In US dollar terms, the price of oil rose 525% from the end of 2001 to July 31, 2008. This position paper argues that, despite the appeal of blaming speculators, supply-and-demand imbalances, the fall in the dollar and low spare capacity in the oil-producing countries are the major causes of this sharp rise.

It also identifies many of the excessively opaque facets of the world oil markets and argues that greater transparency would enable policymakers to make sound economic decisions. Oil futures markets are shown to contribute to the greater transparency of oil markets in general. However, as the paper shows, futures trading can have short-term effects on commodity prices. In general, it is nearly impossible to pinpoint a single cause for recent oil price movements; indeed, an overview of the geopolitics of the major producing regions underscores the complexity of attempts to do so and points to a multiplicity of structural causes for what this paperrecent falls in oil prices notwithstandingterms the third oil shock. 

Pdf
Oil_Prices_and_Speculation.pdf...
(-1.00 B)
Type: Position paper
Date: le 03/11/2008
Research Cluster : Finance

See Also

Bond Portfolio Optimization in the Presence of Duration Constraints - EDHEC-Risk Institute research article in the Journal of Fixed Income
News
- 19-07-2018
We are pleased to enclose an EDHEC-Risk Institute research article published in the...
Lionel Martellini discussed ageing population: goal-based investing and its application to the retirement problem
News
- 10-07-2018
Lionel Martellini, Professor of Finance at EDHEC Business School and Director of EDHEC-...
[EDHEC Experience] Light on the first urban Lab of Latin America
News
- 09-07-2018
Wide Open: in the explorers' shoes The third stopover of the Wide Open project has been...
EDHECInfra Days: Infrastructure Investors need proper benchmarks
News
- 05-07-2018
Earlier this month we held the first EDHECinfra Days event in London, bringing together...