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Should a Skeptical Portfolio Insurer use an Optimal or a Risk-Based Multiplier?
Maxime Bonelli, Daniel Mantilla-Garcia: Following recent evidence of out-of-sample stock market return predictability, the authors aim to evaluate whether the potential benefits suggested by asset allocation theory can actually be captured in the real world using expected return estimates from a predictive system.
Author(s) :
Student antipolis
Research Associate, EDHEC-Risk InstituteHead of Research & Development, Koris International
Presentation :
The question is addressed in the context of an investor maximising the long-term growth rate of wealth under a maximum drawdown constraint, and comparing the optimal strategy using the predictive system with a similar risk-based allocation strategy, independent of expected return estimates. The authors find that the risk-based strategy implies nonetheless very variable and relatively high expected returns, and report important potential benefits in using the expected return estimates of the predictive system they used.| Type : | Working paper |
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| Date : | le 07/07/2014 |
| Extra information : | For more information, please contact EDHEC Research and Development Department [ research@drd.edhec.edu ] |
| Research Cluster : | Finance |
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Located in Lille, Nice, Paris, London and Singapore, EDHEC is one of the 20 best business schools in the world. Resolutely international and directly connected to the world of business, it is known for the excellence of its research and its capacity to train entrepreneurs and managers able to move the lines.
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