Index-Exciting CAViaR: A New Empirical Time-Varying Risk Model

Instead of assuming the distribution of return series, Engle and Manganelli (2004) propose a new Value-at-Risk (VaR) modeling approach, Conditional Autoregressive Value-at-Risk (CAViaR), to directly compute the quantile of an individual asset’s returns which performs better in many cases than those that invert a return distribution.

Author(s):

Frank J. Fabozzi

Yale School of Management

Sergio Focardi

EDHEC Business School

Masao Fukushima

Kyoto University

Dashan Huang

Washington University in St. Louis

Zudi Lu

School of Mathematical Sciences,The University of Adelaide

Baimin Yu

School of International Tradeand Economics, University of International Business and Economics

In this paper we explore more flexible CAViaR models that allow VaR prediction to depend upon a richer information set involving returns on an index. Specifically, we formulate a time-varying CAViaR model whose parameters vary according to the evolution of the index. The empirical evidence reported in this paper suggests that our timevarying CAViaR models can do a better job for VaR prediction when there are spillover effects from one market or market segment to other markets or market segments.
Pdf
Index-Exciting CAViaR: A New Empirical Time-Varying Risk Model...
(-1.00 B)
Type: Working paper
Date: le 10/09/2008
Extra information : For more information, please contact Joanne Finlay, EDHEC Research and Development Department [ joanne.finlay@edhec.edu ] The contents of this paper do not necessarily reflect the opinions of EDHEC Business School.
Research Cluster : Finance

See Also

Bond Portfolio Optimization in the Presence of Duration Constraints - EDHEC-Risk Institute research article in the Journal of Fixed Income
News
- 19-07-2018
We are pleased to enclose an EDHEC-Risk Institute research article published in the...
Lionel Martellini discussed ageing population: goal-based investing and its application to the retirement problem
News
- 10-07-2018
Lionel Martellini, Professor of Finance at EDHEC Business School and Director of EDHEC-...
EDHECInfra Days: Infrastructure Investors need proper benchmarks
News
- 05-07-2018
Earlier this month we held the first EDHECinfra Days event in London, bringing together...
EDHEC Family Business Centre Dissemin’Actions
News
- 05-07-2018
Since the beginning of 2018, researchers and teachers from the Family Business Centre...